Image via Wikipedia
I had played $3-$6 limit cash game on ten previous occasions and had won eight times. On Friday night, I played again at the $3-$6 level and lost--I couldn't get the table to fold to any of my raises or bets..a bummer.
On Saturday, I decided to move up and play a $6-$12 limit cash game at the local poker room. I figured I could get a few more folds:-)
Here is the situation:
The table is 10 handed. I am on the big blind. The blinds are $6-$4.
Three players limp in and a player in middle position raises. Four players call the raise. I look down on the big blind and find 6-2 offsuit.
It's not that great of a starting hand, of course, but it will cost me $6 with a pot expected to be $90. I call. And the limpers call.
There are 8 players in the hand and the pot is $96.
The flop comes Q-8-6 rainbow.
The limpers fold to the raiser, who bets. Two players fold. But, the next player raises. It is $12 to me. The pot is now $120. It is one big bet to win 10 big bets.
Since I know I am going to get a few more callers, I am actually getting the right pot odds here to call (I need at least 11 bets in the pot for a positive expected value).
I also get this feeling that a 6 will hit. I call.
The three early position players call. The original bettor re-raises, and the next player caps the pot.
Now, it is another $12 to me. The pot is $168.
I pick up the chips to make the call. I mean if it is right to call off $12 for $120 then it's right to call off the same amount for a bigger pot, right?
I am about to toss the chips into the pot, when I start to think that someone already has a set. I put down the chips and think it over for a few seconds.
If I think I am drawing dead, then a fold is in order.
I fold. The moment I fold I feel stupid. The expected value for me is positive. I shouldn't fold unless I am like 99% sure that even if I hit my 6 I will lose. I am not that sure.
The turn card is a 7.
The river is a 6!!
Everyone checks again.
The winning hand is A-Q.
Would you have played this hand differently?
Overall Results for the Day
I played for 5 hours and won $500. Not bad. But the opportunity to take down a big pot was lost.