Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Gus Hansen-winning playing style after 20 hands

Here is a review of hands 16-20, and the learning after 20 hands. I think we have an excellent portrait of Gus' winning playing style after just these hands. In addition, we start to get into the math that Gus uses to guide his decisions.

Hand 16:
Blinds 100/200/25
Position: Button
Hand Ad-6d
Chips: 26.1k

Gus is first and raises on the button to 600? Blinds fold.

Learning:
Steal on the button with a standard sized raise (although this hand is worth a raise).


Hand 17:
Blinds 100/200/25
Position: 2 off the button
Hand Jc-5c
Chips: 26.6k

Gus is first in and raises to 600. The button min raises to 1200, and Gus calls with great pot odds. Flop is Kc-9s-3c. Gus checks and opponent checks.

The turn is an 8c. Gus hit his flush. Gus bets out to 2000 and his opponent raises to 6000. His opponent either has KK or 99. Gus moves all-in for 19,375 and gets called. His opponent does have 99 for a set. River is a 4h. Gus doubles up.

Learning:
Bet out rather than check when you hit the flush on the turn.


Hand 18:
Blinds 150/300/25
Position: 2 off the button
Hand Kd-Qs
Chips: 53.2k

Player in early position limps, Gus limps (although he would normally raise), and blinds call as well. The flop is Kc-6h-2s.

Gus checks top pair after opponents check. Turn is 2h. BB bets to 500, limper raises to 2000 and only Gus calls. The river is a 3s.

Opponent bets 3000 into the 6000 pot, and Gus calls.

Learning:
It's okay to mix up your game and check a hand you would raise with pre-flop and bet with on the flop. But, realize, that your job of reading your opponents will be tougher since you sent out a message you were weak and not strong.


Hand 19:
Blinds 150/300/25
Position: 4th
Hand Ac-4c
Chips: 59.6k

Gus limps after under the gun limper. Blinds calls. Flop is 2h-5d-Kc. The limper bets 800 into 1425 pot.

Gus has a gut shot straight draw, backdoor flush draw, and Ace high. Since he has lots of chips he calls. Blinds fold. Turn is a Jc.

Opponent bets 2200, and has 7000 left. Gus has to call 2200 to win 5200 or a 30% winning chance. (Important: His winning chance is 2200 divided by the total of 2200+5200 or 7400.) Gus figures he has 10 outs of 44 remaining cards or 22.7%, meaning he should fold. But he calls given the implied odds.

The river is a 5h. Opponent bets and Gus folds.

Learning:
You can stretch your calls when you have a huge chip stack if you think your
implied odds are excellent.
Know your chance of winning given the bet size compared to the pot size, and then compare it to the number of cards you need to win compared to the umber of the remaining cards. If actual odds are higher than the cards percentage, you should fold.


Hand 20:
Blinds 150/300/25
Position: 2 off the button
Hand Jc-Tc
Chips: 55.7k

Gus opens for 1000 and only the BB calls. The flop is Jd-9d-8h. Gus bets 1200 and BB calls. The turn is a 4s.

There is 4800 in the pot and opponent has 12,000. If Gus bets 300 and his opponent calls, and the Kd hits on the river, Gus will have a tough decision. Gus does not like tough decisions. He puts his opponent on a draw and bets 13,000. His opponent folds.

Learning:
If you put your opponent on a draw, make an over-sized bet to get him to fold on the turn (putting him all-in).


Learning after 20 hands:

Limp in with suited connectors in early rounds to risk few chips to win a big pot.
Fold if you may be drawing dead when three cards of the same suit flop and you have a mid-level club.
First in on the SB raise.
Limp in back position with suited connectors, and call a raise behind you if the pot odds are big enough (over 3 to 1).
On paired flops, make a half pot sized bet against the blind limpers.
Raise with a mediocre hand first in, when in late position
Use a C-bet heads-up in position with more than half sized bet.
In BB call a SB raise first in that gives you 2-1 odds with suited connectors.
When hit a pair on flop, check raise to determine if you have best hand.
Raise from SB first in with suited connectors.
Call a raise HU if odds are right (over 3 to 1).
Just call A-J offsuit when there is an early position raise and one caller.
Raise under the gun with K-Q offsuit.
If c-bet gets called and turn is not a scare card, check your hand.
Call with suited connectors when the pot odds are right (2.5 to 1).
Cut-off is a good place to try to steal, but if get raised just fold.
On button, raise more than the size of the pot to try to take down a pot with all limpers.
Don't risk everything when you only have 2nd pair, if an opponent bets out and you are going to have to guess if you are beat or not. Wait for a better opportunity.
Raising with K-9 suited in early position is an acceptable move, especially when the table has shown a tendency to limp and fold to raises pre-flop.
Calling a raise with a flush draw on the flop is a good play with over 4 to 1 odds. (1800 to win 7550)
An aggressive table image can get opponents to make big mistakes against you.
Calling a re-raise with medium pairs is an acceptable play given the implied odds.
Steal on the button with a standard sized raise (although this hand is worth a raise).
Bet out rather than check when you hit the flush on the turn.
It's okay to mix up your game and check a hand you would raise with pre-flop and bet with on the flop. But, realize, that your job of reading your opponents will be tougher since you sent out a message you were weak and not strong.
You can stretch your calls when you have a huge chip stack if you think your
implied odds are excellent.
Know your chance of winning given the bet size compared to the pot size, and then compare it to the number of cards you need to win compared to the umber of the remaining cards. If actual odds are higher than the cards percentage, you should fold.
If you put your opponent on a draw, make an over-sized bet to get him to fold on the turn (putting him all-in).

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