Sunday, October 25, 2009

Poker Quiz: You've got pocket Aces and your opponent has what?

Poker Quiz: You've got pocket Aces and your opponent has what?

You are in a MTT tournament with $25,000 buy-in. You won the money playing at Fu

A pair of aces is arguably the best hand to be...Image via Wikipedia

ll Rush poker...lol. And you decided to come to Vegas play in this event at the Bellagio.

Poker Quiz

It's in the early rounds. The blinds are $50-$100. You have about $23,000 in chips.

You are in seat 3. The player under the gun limps and you find pocket Aces. You want to get paid off with pocket Aces, and raise only $300. I would raise bigger myself, since everyone is deep stacked, but you play your way.

A player in late position calls as does the big blind and the limper. There are 4 players in the hand and the pot is $1,250. Pocket Aces against four players is not an ideal situation...but....

The flop is Ks-6d-5h. Excellent flop for Aces, I think.

There are two checks to you and you bet $800.

Everyone folds but the big blind calls. There is now $2,850 in the pot.

It is heads-up.

You should be thinking: What does your opponent have in this situation? What range of hands do you put him on?

My thinking: There are no flush draws. He may have top pair. He probably would have raised with two pair--but I don't see anyone calling a pre-flop raise with K-6 or K-5. 6-5 suited maybe, but no check raise so I don't see two pair. What about a set? A set is always possible, but I don't like assuming the worse.

Most likely hands to my thinking is probably K-10, K-Q, or K-J. I could be wrong.

The turn is a 9c. I like that card, unless my opponent has K-9 or 8-7.

He checks. You bet $1,800. A good bet. It controls the size of the pot. Oops. Your opponent check raises to $4,000.

Let's think this through...Let's start with the pot. It is $8,650. It will cost you only $2,200 to call.

What do you know about your opponent? Nothing, except he is in a $25,000 buy-in event, so he must know how to play the game.

Maybe he has K-10, K-Q, or K-J...or maybe he just hit two pair with K-9. You do have outs against two pair. You call.

The pot is now $10,850.

The river is an 8s. I don't see that changing anything. Either he had you on the turn or not.

Your opponent bets $7,500. Is that a value bet? A continuation bet? A pure bluff?

What should you do?

Answer on Monday....And a Reminder....

I am hosting a "Trick or Treat" Tournament on Full Rush poker on Wednesday October 28 at 9pm ET (so as not to compete against the Twitter Poker Tournaments).

It is a $50 Freeroll + you win another $10 Bounty if you knock me out. But, you won't knock me out since I plan on winning. :) My name is: Myway1969

There is no password needed since only qualified players will see the event listed.

To sign up read this.

1 comment:

Vera said...

It's a value bet and you need to fold. He either has two pair with K9 being the most likely since he check raised the turn or 78 and he hit the straight. It's possible he has a set of 5s 6s or 9s as well. I would just dump the hand and save my chips.You want to keep the pot small with just one pair and calling this river bet you will have invested almost 13k-over half of your stack!
Looking forward to the freeroll at Full Rush but it's going to be hard for you to win since I am going to be the winner. :)

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